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The number of global online shoppers will grow 50% by 2018

The number of global online shoppers will grow 50% by 2018

A new report and index from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development examines e-commerce in 130 economies across the globe and finds East Asia poised for growth among developing and emerging economies.

The index, entitled “Information Economy Report 2015,”examined Internet use, prominence of secure servers, credit card penetration and postal delivery networks to determine what it called each region’s readiness for business-to-consumer e-commerce. Based on those criteria, the index then ranked the readiness of economies on a scale of 1 to 100. Assessing e-commerce readiness can serve as a first step towards formulating a national e-commerce strategy, according to the report.

The countries with the highest e-commerce readiness across the globe were Luxembourg (91.7), Norway (88.3) and Finland (88.1). The U.S. was No. 15 with a score of 82.0. The majority of the Top 10 economies (six out of 10) were in Europe. The Republic of Korea was the only Asian economy in the global Top 10. The number of global online shoppers will grow 50% from 2013 to 2018, from 1.079 billion to 1.623 billion, the report says.

“As the digital economy expands and more business activities are affected, it becomes more important for governments to consider policies that can help to harness e-commerce for sustainable development,” Mukhisa Kituyi, secretary general for the conference on trade and development, said.

The index also examined e-commerce strengths and weaknesses across each of the 130 regions. A limited home postal delivery network hampers e-commerce penetration in Latin America, the Caribbean, Asia and Oceania, which is the Australia and New Zealand region, the report notes. In Africa, e-commerce is hurt by low web penetration. However, the report notes in the Middle East and Africa the number of online buyers will grow 82% to 170.6 million in 2018 from 93.6 million in 2013. And, in Asia and Oceania that figure will be 70% in the same time period, growing from 460.3 million to 782.4 million.

Developing economies are expected to account for nearly 40% of global B2C e-commerce by 2018, while the B2C share of developed countries will fall to about 60% in 2018 from more than 70% in 2013.

China, the report notes, has emerged as the largest global market for B2C e-commerce, measured both by online buyers and by revenue. Online retail sales in China grew 50% to nearly $450 billion in 2014, according to China’s National Bureau of Statistics.

The report also finds:

The report also notes e-commerce progress in developing countries during the past few years. “Connectivity has improved, with widespread uptake of mobile telephones, social media and rising levels of Internet use,” the report notes. “New e-commerce applications, platforms and payment solutions are making it easier to engage in e-commerce. (And) local e-companies with e-commerce services tailored to local demands are rapidly appearing in developing countries, including in least developed countries.”

The report cites Bangladesh and Cambodia as locations where new e-retailers are beginning to sell online, plus sub-SaharanAfrica, where services are enabling shoppers to purchase and pay via basic mobile phones, also called feature phones.

To further drive global e-commerce the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development suggests governments and businesses:

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